🗳️ Elections
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Export-control chip security
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
37%
No
63%
No (63%)Yes (37%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$6k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 37%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Which bills will become law in 2026?
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
36%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
27%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Data center utility cost protection
19%
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
17%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — ADS-B revenue-use restriction
17%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Protect College Sports Act
17%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
14%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Railway safety bill
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Film/TV production expensing
13%
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing
12%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
12%
Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Surface transportation reauthorization
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — E15 year-round sales
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Dignity Act
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Insulin cost cap
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — NO FAKES Act
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — White House ballroom funding
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — JAWBONE Act
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
9%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Credit-card routing competition
9%
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Critical-minerals stockpile
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Jewish American security
7%
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
7%
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?
6%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen