🗳️ Elections
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026? — Insulin cost cap

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
20%
No
80%
No (80%)Yes (20%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 20%. Kalshi has moved up 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If legislation that limits out-of-pocket costs for insulin for privately insured patients to no more than $40 per month, per 30-day supply, or equivalent monthly period has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026? — Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
69%
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50%
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
47%
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46%
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
31%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — ADS-B revenue-use restriction
30%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing
29%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Export-control chip security
27%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
26%
Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?
22%
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
21%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
18%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — NO FAKES Act
17%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Surface transportation reauthorization
16%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Data center utility cost protection
16%
Will the SHOWER Act become law this year?
16%
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15%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Film/TV production expensing
13%
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Critical-minerals stockpile
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Railway safety bill
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — E15 year-round sales
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — White House ballroom funding
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
10%
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
9%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — JAWBONE Act
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Jewish American security
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — SHOWER Act
7%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
20%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen