πŸ—³οΈ Elections
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
22%
No
78%
No (78%)Yes (22%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$20
Liquidity
$8k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 22%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that establishes a federal intellectual property right protecting individuals' voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized digital replicas is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes S. 4591 (119th), the NO FAKES Act of 2026; its House companion H.R. 8915 (119th); and the 2025 versions S. 1367 (119th) and H.R. 2794 (119th), the NO FAKES Act of 2025. Legislation establishing such a right as a provision of a broader bill will also qualify. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov's legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/4591), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes Β· Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
69%
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
47%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Credit-card routing competition
46%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” College sports federalization
46%
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
31%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” ADS-B revenue-use restriction
30%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” AI-chip export licensing
29%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Export-control chip security
27%
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
22%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Insulin cost cap
20%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” NO FAKES Act
17%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Data center utility cost protection
16%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Surface transportation reauthorization
16%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
15%
Will the SHOWER Act become law this year?
14%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Film/TV production expensing
13%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
13%
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Critical-minerals stockpile
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” E15 year-round sales
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Railway safety bill
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” White House ballroom funding
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Fort Bragg β†’ Fort Liberty
10%
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” JAWBONE Act
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” Jewish American security
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” SHOWER Act
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? β€” ROTOR Act
7%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
22%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$20
Liquidity$8k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen