🗳️ Elections
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Surface transportation reauthorization
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 11%.
About this market
If legislation that provides multi-year reauthorization and funding for federal surface transportation programs through the Highway Trust Fund and general fund appropriations has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Which bills will become law in 2026?
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Export-control chip security
37%
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
36%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
27%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Data center utility cost protection
19%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — ADS-B revenue-use restriction
17%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Protect College Sports Act
17%
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
17%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
14%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Film/TV production expensing
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Railway safety bill
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
13%
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing
12%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
12%
Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Dignity Act
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Insulin cost cap
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — E15 year-round sales
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — White House ballroom funding
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — NO FAKES Act
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — JAWBONE Act
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Credit-card routing competition
9%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
9%
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Critical-minerals stockpile
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Jewish American security
7%
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
7%
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?
6%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen