🗳️ Elections
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Which bills will become law in 2026? — JAWBONE Act
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 8%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If legislation principally aimed at curbing federal coercion of speech intermediaries (social media platforms, AI systems, broadcasters), including through a private right of action against agencies or officials, monetary damages, or mandatory disclosure of government-to-platform communications has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Which bills will become law in 2026?
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
69%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — College sports federalization
50%
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
47%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Credit-card routing competition
46%
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
31%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — ADS-B revenue-use restriction
30%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing
29%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Export-control chip security
27%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
26%
Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?
22%
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
21%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Insulin cost cap
20%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
18%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — NO FAKES Act
17%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Surface transportation reauthorization
16%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Data center utility cost protection
16%
Will the SHOWER Act become law this year?
16%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
15%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Film/TV production expensing
13%
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Critical-minerals stockpile
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Railway safety bill
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — E15 year-round sales
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — White House ballroom funding
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
10%
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
9%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — SHOWER Act
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Jewish American security
7%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen