🗳️ Elections
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026? — Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$247
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved down 8pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If legislation that imposes an annual federal registration fee on electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, with the revenue dedicated to the Highway Trust Fund has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which bills will become law in 2026?

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
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Which bills will become law in 2026? — E15 year-round sales
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Which bills will become law in 2026? — Export-control chip security
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26%
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Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
23%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing
22%
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
22%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
17%
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16%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Film/TV production expensing
13%
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13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Dignity Act
11%
Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?
10%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Credit-card routing competition
9%
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Insulin cost cap
8%
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
8%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — $2.50 Coin
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — NO FAKES Act
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Trump Airport
7%
Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?
6%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
6%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — JAWBONE Act
6%
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?
5%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Jewish American security
5%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — DEFIANCE Act
5%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$247
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen