🗳️ Elections
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026? — Film/TV production expensing

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$6k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 13%.

About this market

If legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which bills will become law in 2026?

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
43%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Export-control chip security
39%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
26%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — ADS-B revenue-use restriction
16%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing
15%
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
14%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Data center utility cost protection
14%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — E15 year-round sales
14%
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
14%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
14%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Protect College Sports Act
12%
Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Dignity Act
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — NO FAKES Act
10%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Insulin cost cap
8%
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
8%
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?
8%
Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?
7%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Jewish American security
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
6%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — JAWBONE Act
6%
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?
5%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — DEFIANCE Act
5%
Will Trump Airport become law this year?
5%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Critical-minerals stockpile
5%
Will the SHOWER Act become law this year?
5%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — $2.50 Coin
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
13%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen