🗳️ Elections
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026? — NO FAKES Act

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$747
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If legislation that establishes a federal intellectual-property right protecting individuals’ voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized digital replicas has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which bills will become law in 2026?

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
42%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Export-control chip security
38%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
21%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — E15 year-round sales
17%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — ADS-B revenue-use restriction
16%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing
15%
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
14%
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
14%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
14%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Data center utility cost protection
14%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Dignity Act
11%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
9%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Film/TV production expensing
9%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Critical-minerals stockpile
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Insulin cost cap
8%
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Jewish American security
7%
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
7%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Protect College Sports Act
6%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
6%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — White House ballroom funding
6%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — JAWBONE Act
6%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
6%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Surface transportation reauthorization
6%
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?
5%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — DEFIANCE Act
5%
Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?
5%
Will the SHOWER Act become law this year?
5%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — $2.50 Coin
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$747
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen