🗳️ Elections
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
29%
No
71%
No (71%)Yes (29%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 29%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Which bills will become law in 2026?
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen