🗳️ Elections
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Which bills will become law in 2026? — E15 year-round sales
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
15%
No
85%
No (85%)Yes (15%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$215
Liquidity
$13k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 15%. Kalshi has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If legislation that allows year-round nationwide sale of E15 fuel by extending the Clean Air Act Reid Vapor Pressure waiver to ethanol blends up to 15% has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Which bills will become law in 2026?
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Export-control chip security
43%
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
42%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
27%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Protect College Sports Act
22%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Data center utility cost protection
19%
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
18%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
18%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — ADS-B revenue-use restriction
16%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
16%
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
14%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Railway safety bill
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Film/TV production expensing
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Surface transportation reauthorization
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — NO FAKES Act
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Dignity Act
11%
Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?
11%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
10%
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Credit-card routing competition
9%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
9%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Critical-minerals stockpile
9%
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
9%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Insulin cost cap
8%
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Jewish American security
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — JAWBONE Act
6%
Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?
6%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$215
Liquidity$13k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen